Biogeosciences Discuss., 10, 11447-11581, 2013
www.biogeosciences-discuss.net/10/11447/2013/
doi:10.5194/bgd-10-11447-2013
© Author(s) 2013. This work is distributed
under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
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This discussion paper is under review for the journal Biogeosciences (BG).
Current systematic carbon cycle observations and needs for implementing a policy-relevant carbon observing system
P. Ciais1, A. J. Dolman2, A. Bombelli3, R. Duren4, A. Peregon1, P. J. Rayner5, C. Miller4, N. Gobron6, G. Kinderman7, G. Marland8, N. Gruber9, F. Chevallier1, R. J. Andres10, G. Balsamo11, L. Bopp1, F.-M. Bréon1, G. Broquet1, R. Dargaville5, T. J. Battin12, A. Borges13, H. Bovensmann14, M. Buchwitz14, J. Butler15, J. G. Canadell16, R. B. Cook10, R. DeFries17, R. Engelen11, K. R. Gurney18, C. Heinze19,20,21, M. Heimann22, A. Held23, M. Henry24, B. Law25, S. Luyssaert1, J. Miller15,26, T. Moriyama27, C. Moulin1, R. B. Myneni28, C. Nussli29, M. Obersteiner7, D. Ojima30, Y. Pan31, J.-D. Paris1, S. L. Piao32, B. Poulter1, S. Plummer33, S. Quegan34, P. Raymond35, M. Reichstein22, L. Rivier1, C. Sabine36, D. Schimel37, O. Tarasova38, R. Valentini3, G. van der Werf2, D. Wickland39, M. Williams40, and C. Zehner41
1Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, UMR 8212, 91191, Gif sur Yvette Cedex, France
2VU University Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
3Euro-Mediterranean Center for Climate Change, CMCC, Division Climate Change Impacts on Agriculture, Forests and Natural Ecosystems; via Augusto Imperatore 16, 73100 Lecce, Italy
4Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, 4800 Oak Grove Dr, Pasadena, California, USA
5School of Earth Sciences, University of Melbourne, Australia
6Global Environmental Monitoring Unit, Institute for Environment and Sustainability, European Commission Joint Research Center, Ispra, Italy
7International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Schlossplatz 1, Laxenburg, Austria
8Research Institute for Environment, Energy, and Economics, Appalachian State University, Boone, North Carolina, USA
9Institute of Biogeochemistry and Pollutant Dynamics and Center for Climate Systems Modeling, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
10Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN 37831-6290 USA
11ECMWF, Shinfield Park, Reading, RG2 9AX, England
12Department of Limnology, University of Vienna, 1090 Vienna, Austria
13Chemical Oceanography Unit, University of Liège, Institute de Physique (B5), 4000 Liège, Belgium
14Institute of Environmental Physics (IUP), University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany
15NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory (ESRL), 325, Broadway, Boulder, CO 80305-3337, USA
16CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia
17Department of Geography and Environment, Boston University, Boston, MA 02115, USA
18School of Life Sciences, School of Sustainability, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287, USA
19Geophysical Institute, University of Bergen, Allégaten 70, 5007 Bergen, Norway
20Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway
21Uni Bjerknes Centre, Uni Research, Bergen, Norway
22Max-Planck-Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena, Germany
23AusCover Facility, Terrestrial Ecosystem Research Network – TERN, CSIRO; P.O. Box 3023, Canberra ACT 2601, Australia
24Forestry Department, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Via delle Terme di Caracalla, 00153 Rome, Italy
25Department of Forest Ecosystems and Society, 321 Richardson Hall, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR, USA
26Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO 80309, USA
27Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA), Tokyo
28Department of Earth and Environment, Boston University, Boston, MA, USA
29Thales Alenia Space, Toulouse, France
30Natural Resource Ecology Laboratory, Campus Mail 1499, Fort Collins, CO 80523-1499, USA
31US Department of Agriculture Forest Service, Newtown Square, PA 19073, USA
32Department of Ecology, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China
33ESA Climate Office, European Space Agency – Harwell, Didcot, Oxfordshire OX11 0QX, UK
34Centre for Terrestrial Carbon Dynamics, University of Sheffield, Hicks Building, Hounsfield Road, Sheffield S3 7RH, UK
35Yale School of Forestry and Environmental Studies, USA
36Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Seattle, WA 98115 USA
37National Ecological Observatory Network, Boulder, CO 80301, USA
38World Meteorological Organization, 7bis Avenue de la Paix, 1211 Geneva, Switzerland
39National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Suite 3B74, 300 E Street SW, Washington, DC 20546, USA
40School of GeoSciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH9 3JN, UK
41ESA/ESRIN, Earth Observation Applications Engineer, Via Galileo Galilei CP 64, Frascati, Italy

Abstract. A globally integrated carbon observation and analysis system is needed to improve the fundamental understanding of the global carbon cycle, to improve our ability to project future changes, and to verify the effectiveness of policies aiming to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and increase carbon sequestration. Building an integrated carbon observation system requires transformational advances from the existing sparse, exploratory framework towards a dense, robust, and sustained system in all components: anthropogenic emissions, the atmosphere, the ocean, and the terrestrial biosphere. The goal of this study is to identify the current state of carbon observations and needs for a global integrated carbon observation system that can be built in the next decade. A key conclusion is the substantial expansion (by several orders of magnitude) of the ground-based observation networks required to reach the high spatial resolution for CO2 and CH4 fluxes, and for carbon stocks for addressing policy relevant objectives, and attributing flux changes to underlying processes in each region. In order to establish flux and stock diagnostics over remote areas such as the southern oceans, tropical forests and the Arctic, in situ observations will have to be complemented with remote-sensing measurements. Remote sensing offers the advantage of dense spatial coverage and frequent revisit. A key challenge is to bring remote sensing measurements to a level of long-term consistency and accuracy so that they can be efficiently combined in models to reduce uncertainties, in synergy with ground-based data. Bringing tight observational constraints on fossil fuel and land use change emissions will be the biggest challenge for deployment of a policy-relevant integrated carbon observation system. This will require in-situ and remotely sensed data at much higher resolution and density than currently achieved for natural fluxes, although over a small land area (cities, industrial sites, power plants), as well as the inclusion of fossil fuel CO2 proxy measurements such as radiocarbon in CO2 and carbon-fuel combustion tracers. Additionally, a policy relevant carbon monitoring system should also provide mechanisms for reconciling regional top-down (atmosphere-based) and bottom-up (surface-based) flux estimates across the range of spatial and temporal scales relevant to mitigation policies. The success of the system will rely on long-term commitments to monitoring, on improved international collaboration to fill gaps in the current observations, on sustained efforts to improve access to the different data streams and make databases inter-operable, and on the calibration of each component of the system to agreed-upon international scales.

Citation: Ciais, P., Dolman, A. J., Bombelli, A., Duren, R., Peregon, A., Rayner, P. J., Miller, C., Gobron, N., Kinderman, G., Marland, G., Gruber, N., Chevallier, F., Andres, R. J., Balsamo, G., Bopp, L., Bréon, F.-M., Broquet, G., Dargaville, R., Battin, T. J., Borges, A., Bovensmann, H., Buchwitz, M., Butler, J., Canadell, J. G., Cook, R. B., DeFries, R., Engelen, R., Gurney, K. R., Heinze, C., Heimann, M., Held, A., Henry, M., Law, B., Luyssaert, S., Miller, J., Moriyama, T., Moulin, C., Myneni, R. B., Nussli, C., Obersteiner, M., Ojima, D., Pan, Y., Paris, J.-D., Piao, S. L., Poulter, B., Plummer, S., Quegan, S., Raymond, P., Reichstein, M., Rivier, L., Sabine, C., Schimel, D., Tarasova, O., Valentini, R., van der Werf, G., Wickland, D., Williams, M., and Zehner, C.: Current systematic carbon cycle observations and needs for implementing a policy-relevant carbon observing system, Biogeosciences Discuss., 10, 11447-11581, doi:10.5194/bgd-10-11447-2013, 2013.
 
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